Mari Explosion

Atmospheric dispersion and fallout from the Mari Evangelos Florakis Naval Base ammunition explosion in Cyprus on 11 July 2011.

Research scientists at the Cyprus Institute have computed the atmospheric dispersion of debris from the Mari ammunition explosion on 11 July, 2011, using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. A high-resolution computational model of the atmosphere (3×3 km) was used together with meteorological observations, starting at 6am local time. The explosion cloud was computed by initializing the explosion aerosol plume up to a height of 5.5 km over the Mari site. The computer simulations revealed that at all height levels the plume was dispersed towards the Mediterranean Sea by the prevailing westerly winds, thus preventing fallout of debris over populated areas. The results should be considered as accurate, always bearing in mind the computational uncertainties of the associated models.

Climate Modelling